Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.004996 0.005523 0.006069 0.006675 0.007328 0.008008 0.008771
2025-03-23 0.004258 0.005025 0.005857 0.006825 0.007915 0.009100 0.010483
2025-03-30 0.003832 0.004739 0.005761 0.006987 0.008410 0.010002 0.011908
2025-04-06 0.003350 0.004324 0.005455 0.006851 0.008516 0.010422 0.012756
2025-04-13 0.003036 0.004068 0.005299 0.006858 0.008757 0.010977 0.013746
2025-04-20 0.002720 0.003779 0.005075 0.006753 0.008843 0.011330 0.014484
2025-04-27 0.002480 0.003562 0.004920 0.006716 0.008993 0.011748 0.015295
2025-05-04 0.002271 0.003369 0.004777 0.006677 0.009129 0.012141 0.016071
2025-05-11 0.002155 0.003288 0.004772 0.006807 0.009474 0.012792 0.017172
2025-05-18 0.001965 0.003093 0.004602 0.006710 0.009517 0.013057 0.017787
2025-05-25 0.001845 0.002986 0.004542 0.006752 0.009735 0.013543 0.018684
2025-06-01 0.001792 0.002970 0.004603 0.006955 0.010168 0.014310 0.019950
2025-06-08 0.001692 0.002882 0.004564 0.007024 0.010429 0.014868 0.020972
2025-06-15 0.001622 0.002834 0.004578 0.007166 0.010792 0.015567 0.022190
2025-06-22 0.001565 0.002803 0.004613 0.007335 0.011192 0.016319 0.023487
2025-06-29 0.001426 0.002634 0.004437 0.007194 0.011155 0.016482 0.024003
2025-07-06 0.001338 0.002540 0.004366 0.007201 0.011322 0.016918 0.024885
2025-07-13 0.001229 0.002402 0.004223 0.007092 0.011319 0.017118 0.025449
2025-07-20 0.001145 0.002301 0.004129 0.007053 0.011410 0.017447 0.026189
2025-07-27 0.001067 0.002205 0.004039 0.007013 0.011497 0.017767 0.026917
2025-08-03 0.001033 0.002183 0.004063 0.007148 0.011842 0.018453 0.028159
2025-08-10 0.000952 0.002072 0.003939 0.007047 0.011832 0.018635 0.028703
2025-08-17 0.000905 0.002020 0.003908 0.007090 0.012037 0.019124 0.029677